![]() The researchers conducted a series of population projections to assess the impact of the invasion calculated on the basis of potential deaths, refugees and their likelihood of staying abroad for a long period. "With long-term political and economic instability, refugees are not only unlikely to return, but young adults and families still in Ukraine may also decide to leave the country eventually." ![]() "Our analysis shows that Ukraine's population has been declining and aging and these processes are projected to continue in the next two decades. Professor Hill Kulu, of the School of Geography and Sustainable Development at the University of St Andrews, said: "Russia's invasion will not only lead to immense human and economic costs in Ukraine in the present, but also carries long-term demographic repercussions. ![]() Coupled with continued low fertility, which has been in decline since the 1990s, this could have a dramatic impact on the long-term future demographics of Ukraine, according to the research team. ![]() The population of Ukraine is also likely to become proportionately older over time with continued large-scale emigration the longer the war persists. War casualties and the large numbers fleeing the country in search of safety would contribute to the population fall. ![]()
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